AI-Driven Failure Analysis in Engineering Systems: LSTM-Based Failure Prediction with Efficient Dependency-Graph Transitive-Closure Updates

Authors

  • Michael Hyder Jr Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Boston University, Boston, MA, 02215, USA
  • Yehia F. Khalil Department of Chemical & Environmental Engineering, Yale University, New Haven, CT, 06520, USA https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6971-2135
  • Jian Zou Department of Mathematical Sciences, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA, 01609, USA and College of Nursing, University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, 32827, USA
  • Tharindu P. De Alwis Department of Mathematics & Statistics, University of West Florida, Pensacola, FL, 32514, USA

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.63002/jrecs.405.1713

Abstract

Failure analysis is essential for ensuring the reliability and safety of engineering systems. However, conventional approaches are often too resource-intensive to keep pace with the growing complexity and interconnectivity of modern engineering systems. This research proposes a novel, AI-driven combinatorial approach to failure analysis. By integrating natural language processing (NLP), machine learning (ML), and graph-theoretic methods, the approach aims to improve component-failure prediction, generate actionable insights, and help safety and reliability engineers identify failure patterns that inform more resilient system designs. The proposed approach uses a long short-term memory (LSTM) network to predict component failure probabilities and represents complex interdependencies among system components with a dependency graph. The graph’s transitive closure is cached and incrementally maintained using efficient algorithms, enabling on-demand recalculation of estimated component failure probabilities as the system design changes. An aerospace engineering case study is used to demonstrate the approach’s application in a real-world setting. The proposed AI-driven approach offers a promising path to improving system safety and reliability across a range of engineering domains, particularly in industries that operate highly complex, safety-critical systems. Future work should train the LSTM on larger, more representative datasets to improve the accuracy of failure-probability predictions.

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Published

16-09-2026